Monday, December 07, 2009

Poll: 33% of Republicans Favor Tea Party Candidate; 39% a GOP

But in All Other Groups, the Tea Party Groups are Stronger Than the Republicans

My comment. If you study the poll below carefully, it appears that the only way to oust the Democrats is for the Republican Party to pick a candidate that will hold the Republicans and Tea Party people together. Jim Holt is a perfect candidate to do that. He is a Republican but has stood with the people rather than with the Republican establishment ever since he has been in politics, and there are plenty of media stories and voting records to prove it.

As a Republican, he has already pulled over 44 % of the vote against Lincoln in 2004 at a time when she was not even vulnerable and without the help of the Republican establishment. With the addition of the fervent, enthusiastic Tea Party people, he should be the best candidate to finish the job.

And conservative voters and Tea Party groups, BEWARE! Anyone who dares to strongly champion your causes publicly and in their voting, will soon be dragged through the mud and get the same media treatment that Senator Holt and Sarah Palin have. And based on the past, we have no way of knowing if the new candidates on the scene will stand or fold if they go to Washington. The only way to victory is for conservatives to become strong enough to overcome the negative media attacks. I pray that we are about there. Debbie

Rasmussen Poll posted Monday, December 07, 2009
"In a three-way Generic Ballot test, the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds Democrats attracting 36% of the vote. The Tea Party candidate picks up 23%, and Republicans finish third at 18%. Another 22% are undecided. [The Tea Party 18% plus 23% would be 41% if the Republicans and Tea Party groups would stick together, but the Tea Party is stronger than the Republicans]

"Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the Tea Party comes out on top. Thirty-three percent (33%) prefer the Tea Party candidate, and 30% are undecided. Twenty-five percent (25%) would vote for a Democrat, and just 12% prefer the GOP. [33% and 12% would be 45 % which would still beat the Democrats by 12 % points - Note that the Tea Party is stronger than the Republicans in the swing votes]

"Among Republican voters, 39% say they’d vote for the GOP candidate, but 33% favor the Tea Party option.

"For this survey, the respondents were asked to assume that the Tea Party movement organized as a new political party. In practical terms, it is unlikely that a true third-party option would perform as well as the polling data indicates. The rules of the election process—written by Republicans and Democrats--provide substantial advantages for the two established major parties. The more conventional route in the United States is for a potential third-party force to overtake one of the existing parties. "

If the establishment Republicans in Arkansas don't heed the warning provided for us in this poll and the one below, we will probably still have Obama and Lincoln in 2010 and 2012.

If you recall, I sent the following poll out in October which adds more credence to what I said above. Debbie

Republican Voters Say GOP Reps in Congress Still Out of Touch

Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republican voters say their party’s representatives in Congress have lost touch with GOP voters nationwide over the past several years. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that just 18% of GOP voters believe their elected officials have done a good job representing the base.

Most Republican voters (55%) say that the average Republican in Congress is more liberal than the average Republican voter.

Just 18% of Democrats believe than the GOP representatives in Congress are more liberal than GOP voters.

See this link for several more interesting findings from Rasmussen - Dated September 1, 09

Other links you may be interested in:
Senator Jim Holt and Senator Gilbert Baker's Voting Record compared:
Why I would support Jim Holt as US Senator:
Candidate Senator Gilbert Baker's voting record by a liberal group - voted more liberal than any Republican senator and 41 House members.
Candidate Gilbert Baker relies on Brummett endorsement in fundraising letter
Washington News - GOP is picking Senator Gilbert Baker too soon


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1:59 AM, December 08, 2009  

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