Lt. Governor Poll Results from CH 11 and Survey USA
Red= Jim Holt (59%)
Green= Undecided (22%)
Blue= Chuck Banks (12%)
Yellow= Doug Matayo (7%)
Please note that the survey questions were of likely republican primary voters. Any titles the men might have (Senator, State Rep) were not used. The margin of error is 5%
On the Democratic side Bill Halter leads with 33%. Tim Wooldridge and Mike Hathorn have 14 and 15%. There were more undecideds on the Democratic side.
posted by Mark Moore (Moderator) at Wednesday, April 12, 2006
20 Comments:
That leaves only two questions. First, who will level the nastiest attacks on Holt, Banks or Matayo? Second, will they do the right thing and campaign hard for Holt in the fall election? Those answers will tell us whether we're a real party or a gang of self-serving politicians.
I don't think many are surprised by these numbers. It would've been more interesting to see a poll on Holt vs. "Lotto-boy" Halter.
The margin of error is actually 5.2%. Only 353 "likely Republican voters" were called out of the thousands who are expected to vote.
Way to give Banks blue and Matayo yellow (your subliminal messages are seen).
Good try on spinning this, though.
No one will campaign for Holt if he makes it past the primary. They didn't last time, so why would they this time? If Holt makes it, we will have a democrat for a Governor and Lt. Governor. Holt is the self-serving politician because he knows he will lose in November. The democrats want Holt to win the primary more than anything. They will do whatever it takes to make that happen, because they know they will beat him in November. If Holt wins, he's handing both offices over to the Dems. You won't believe it now, but you'll see it in Nov.
A lot of money is being spent by Banks right now to come after Holt. Holt can't afford to fight back, so he won't be able to do anything about it. Banks will be blasting Holt all over everyone's local channels. The whole state will see it, because Banks can afford it. Holt can't.
It would've been more interesting to see the people of NWA polled. I bet the numbers would be different. 300 people in LR don't mean anything.
Way to give Banks blue and Matayo yellow (your subliminal messages are seen).
Oh no! Now it's "SurveyUSA-Gate"! They're in Holt's pocket! The WHOLE NATION is in a conspiracy to push him through the primary with strong showing!
I wonder what the margin of error was on election day when it showed John Kerry with a good lead over Bush. Obviously the margin should've been a lot higher. I wonder what the margin of error was when it showed John Boozman last every time. Obviously that should've been a lot higher also.
Actually Mark, aka 12:59, what I was getting at is that you guys determinded what colors went to whom. It's not "SurveyUSA" gate. That's just retarded.
Now, if I am wrong, then so be it. But I agree with the comment above: if polls were believed in elections, Bush AND Boozman wouldn't have been elected.
Not anywhere near this big.
Well, I just found out that I was being the stupid one. I now looked at the picture close up. My apologies.
Well, I just found out that I was being the stupid one. I now looked at the picture close up. My apologies.
2:01--They were for Kerry in the Democrat polls. He was third and fourth in every national poll. Boozman was third in all the polls in his race, too.
Congrats Mark and Jim
This thread has been more gracious than usual. I appreciate the civility.
I am passing out cards too on taxes... Jim voted for them.
Keep up the good work. We have a lot of ground to cover in November. Holt needs to show us his vision for the party. Moreover, how will he help Asa pass the conservative bills through a democratic senate? We don’t want a liberal like Halter destroying our great bills. Show us how he will fight the democrats. Does Holt support the party’s Reform Platform? And show us a little money you have raised. Give the RPA a reason to rally behind him. Then he will be a solid candidates and on his way to the Lt gov. office. I wish you all the luck.
I just wish people would ask your self the question. "If you can't win a primary, how can you win a general election?" How can Banks be the electable candidate if he can't win a primary? And I thought the people were tired of money buying elections. Now everyone is bragging about how Banks can buy this one. We have a candiate who got his votes from the grassroot rather than buying them or trading his vote for donations, and some people act like they hate him. It doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Personally, he seems to support the conservative ideas we have all been wanting, and willing to face the heat to fight for them. I think he is the type of person that most of us have waited for now for a long time and that is why he is getting this type of support. People are fed up with the way politics operate and find Senator Holt to be totally inspiring.
Banks will have a harder time in the primary because of all the recognizable name of Holt. He'll also have a harder time because the majority of the vote comes from NW AR - and they like their home cookin up there.
I do support Banks - but if he does lose, I will get behind whatever candidate the party chooses.
I think a great reason for the RPA to support Holt is that the overwhelming majority of their voters support him. I mean, that is why they are there, right, to serve their membership? There should not be a disconnect between what the party structure wants and what the grassroots of the party wants.
American Family Association, Arkansas Chapter: Holt gets 100% (perfect) rating on his voting record related to spending and reducing the size of government.
National Federation of Independent Business: Holt gets 100% (perfect) rating as a small business-friendly legislator.
Eagle Forum of Arkansas: "Holt is consistently a top rated legislator"
He's well liked by even his political enemies (who complain that he won't compromise) with the notable exception of the two or three hatchet "men" who hang out on this and other sites trying to sling their mud in the desperate hopes that their candidate will end up in a tie-breaking runoff election with him.
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