Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Any GOP Candidate, Including Paul, Can Beat Hillary

Hillary Clinton: High Negatives

Hillary Clinton has such high negatives that any Republican Candidate has "a chance to win". This takes "but can they beat Hillary" off the table as an election issue. By these numbers the answer, no matter who the candidate is, is YES, they can beat Hillary.
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Ramussen Reports has a poll out today that shows Hillary! can't break 48% of the vote, even against Ron Paul. Her numbers are consistently from 44% to 48% of the vote (50% only against Tom Tancredo), no matter which candidate she is polled against. Paul had 38% in that poll, but he got that 38% support from only 58% of the voters, since 42% said they did not know enough about Paul to form an opinion.

This supports my long held contention that "can they win the general" should not be the deciding factor for who Republicans support in the primary. Republicans could take a heap of dung from the GOP elephant, fashion it in the shape of a man, and THAT would have a decent shot at keeping Hillary! under 50%.

The only exception is, ironically, someone like Guiliani. Any GOP candidate sufficiently liberal to provoke the Christian right to support a third party candidate or sit on their hands will blow this election. In a two-way race where about everyone votes, every other Republican stands a chance.

1 Comments:

Blogger rob_star said...

I think you meant to say that NO republican candidate can beat Hillary except for Ron Paul. I hate pointing out syntax errors but, hey what else do I have to do?

2:14 PM, November 06, 2007  

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