Tuesday, May 11, 2010

Someone Please Poll the 3rd (and tell us)

I know the 3rd district GOP Congressional race is being polled A LOT because I have gotten several calls on it. To date no one has released the data. That tells me that the race is still very open. If one of the three people perceived as "front runners" two months ago was taking off, we would have heard about it. Whichever candidate was doing well would tell us about it.

This race is either in a state of flux or no one is going anywhere. Someone please release some poll numbers and tell us what the trends are!

15 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

I don't care what their numbers are and I'll tell you why. I've heard from supporters of two different campaigns that they received calls on the poll and at least two of the candidates' names weren't mentioned. These polls are push polls and being manipulated to the extent that they are completely invalid.

1:14 PM, May 11, 2010  
Blogger Mark Moore (Moderator) said...

I am sympathetic to people whose candidate has been excluded from a poll. I wrote several pieces about how Holt was excluded early on.

Still, my sources tell me that 5 different polls have been conducted. I figure at least one of them was done legit, offering an option for all candidates. We will see. Just because a poll was done with bad methodology does not mean ALL polls should be discounted.

6:28 PM, May 11, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Womack 28%, Bledsoe 22% (and climbing), Delay 11%, Maddox 9% and Skoch 9%

9:07 PM, May 11, 2010  
Blogger Mark Moore (Moderator) said...

Hey Anon, are you predicting, or have you got something on the QT?

9:09 PM, May 11, 2010  
Blogger Mark Moore (Moderator) said...

....and if you know the poll results, was a margin of error given???

9:14 PM, May 11, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Plus or minus 3%. Runoff here we come. So the question becomes who is more conservative Womack or Bledsoe. I have my opinions, but I'll refrain and just listen.

9:51 PM, May 11, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

That's too close to call. Maybe the back up question is who will listen to the people the most?

4:32 AM, May 12, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Womack 28%, Bledsoe 22% Is this a joke. These two would both be bad for the 3rd. If these two were in the run off I would have a hard thim deciding which one would do the least damage! BTW does Bledsoe still want AR kid first to cover collage students? She voted for it. Look up HB1033.

2:10 PM, May 12, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'm a Skoch voter but I'd vote for Cecile over Womack. She's not a sign thief and she did not say she'd put illegal aliens on a pathway to citizenship like Womack did.

6:07 PM, May 12, 2010  
Blogger Mark Moore (Moderator) said...

I did hear Womack say that. I about fell out of my chair. I DON'T think he is a sign thief, but I can see why you do considering a prior post here on the matter.

If I don't get more official polls in the next 24 hours, gonna go with the anon leak here to try and smoke out some numbers people will put their name on....

9:12 PM, May 12, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

She may not be a sign thief, but if she isn't strong enough to say 'no' to more taxes in Arkansas how would she hold up in D.C.? And what about Mike Moore... last numbers I saw he was ahead of Maddox or Skoch and running very close to Delay. Strong conservative, strong convictions, strong person accustomed to listening. I like him. He's real.

9:48 PM, May 12, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Let's face it people. Womack, Bledsoe, Skoch and Maddox can't even speak well. They do not look like someone that I would want to follow. Skoch's tv adds look like like my kid made them. I see three people in this race that look and act like leaders. Two of which have a good records of surevice to the people of AR. Did any of you know that Bledsoe sent Womack 200K of AR state pork for his wellness center. I also hope that Womack get the design right on the next wellness center as the word I hear is that the HVAC system at the pools was designed poorly and they have all kinds of moisture issues.

12:24 PM, May 13, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Womack 99% and all of the little people will have to share the rest. Is their room in Washington for Womack and Obama.

2:00 PM, May 13, 2010  
Blogger Mark Moore (Moderator) said...

After Maddox, I also like Mike Moore, and not because of the last name. I see them as close in their positions.

Overall, I will give the same advice here I gave for the senate race- see which outsider is closest to getting in the run-off and vote for them, even if there is another outsider that you like a little better.

In the Senate race, that guy is clearly Holt. In the house race, WE NEED ANOTHER POLL to determine that information.

4:15 PM, May 13, 2010  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"After Maddox, I also like Mike Moore" I don't think they have a chance of getting to the run-off. even with all of the personal monies that Maddox has given. What is it 130K?

6:49 AM, May 14, 2010  

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